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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
And enjoy the trip!!!
Categories
Category Archives: Social Security
U.S. government shutdown: What does it mean?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. government is highly likely to shut down on Wednesday, with the beginning of a new fiscal year. This is political theater, and the real danger is that the leading actors are both Republicans and … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Treasury Bills
23 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher than expected
Annual all-items inflation rose to 2.9%, the highest level since January By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In what could be a crucially important report, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged investing, personal-finance
23 Comments
Forecast: Social Security COLA for 2026 should be around 2.8%
Of course, this forecast, and every other one you read, may be wrong. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s July, and that means it is time for my annual adventure trying to forecast next year’s Social Security cost-of-living adjustment. I’m usually … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
11 Comments
Inflation jumped higher in June to annual rate of 2.7%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As economists expected, U.S. all-items inflation moved higher in June, up 0.3% for the month and 2.7% year over year, well above the annual rate in May of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Core … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
14 Comments
A retirement planning expert dives into the Big Beautiful Bill
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Just to give you an idea of how complicated taxes are: For my last post, discussing the tax on Social Security benefits, I made 27 edits and revisions within a day of publishing as I received … Continue reading
Posted in Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged finance, financial-planning, investing, personal-finance, Retirement
7 Comments
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…