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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Category Archives: Tariffs
A historical look at political influence over the BLS
The BLS over time: ‘A tin can tied to my coat tail‘ This article is republished by permission of the authors. By Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood / TLR Analytics We have worked closely with the Bureau of Labor Statistics … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged BLS, Employment
17 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
Inflation jumped higher in June to annual rate of 2.7%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As economists expected, U.S. all-items inflation moved higher in June, up 0.3% for the month and 2.7% year over year, well above the annual rate in May of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Core … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
14 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 2.220%, 2nd highest in 16 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com At this moment, I am on a Viking cruise ship sailing out of Gdansk, Poland, and could lose internet access at any moment. So this is going to be quick. The U.S. Treasury’s $18 billion reopening … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury investments
19 Comments
U.S. inflation increased 0.2% in April, as annual rate falls to a 4-year low
This is positive news, but uncertainties remain. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this on a sunny Tuesday afternoon in Stockholm, Sweden, so I plan to be brief, to the point, and then get on to exploring this beautiful … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance
10 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…