David, what concerns me most is the doubling of the debt from 20t to 40t so quickly. If the endgame…
Does the Social Security Trust Fund increasingly liquidating the nonmarketable Treasurys in the fund have any role in the public…
If there is a recession and the Fed lowers interest rates via the Fed Funds rate and possibly even QE,…
I am convinced that the standard Treasury market and the TIPS market have become independent of each other and have…
Category Archives: Tariffs
An inflation surge could be coming in early 2026
What will be the effect of ‘big beautiful’ tax refund checks? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I read a report by David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, that mirrored some of my concerns that sizable federal … Continue reading
A historical look at political influence over the BLS
The BLS over time: ‘A tin can tied to my coat tail‘ This article is republished by permission of the authors. By Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood / TLR Analytics We have worked closely with the Bureau of Labor Statistics … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged BLS, Employment
18 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
Inflation jumped higher in June to annual rate of 2.7%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As economists expected, U.S. all-items inflation moved higher in June, up 0.3% for the month and 2.7% year over year, well above the annual rate in May of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Core … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
14 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 2.220%, 2nd highest in 16 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com At this moment, I am on a Viking cruise ship sailing out of Gdansk, Poland, and could lose internet access at any moment. So this is going to be quick. The U.S. Treasury’s $18 billion reopening … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury investments
19 Comments
It's certainly fair to assess recent (and even not so recent!) fiscal policy as "irresponsible"; But David uses the term…