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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Categories
Tag Archives: bonds
Have we seen the end of 2.0%+ real yields?
Shorter-term rates will fall. The future of longer-term rates is uncertain. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Just a few days ago, on Aug. 22, the U.S. Treasury auctioned a reopened 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security with a real yield to maturity of … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing
16 Comments
30-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 2.055%
Only the 2nd auction of this term since 2011 to get a real yield above 2.0%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Real yields were ticking a bit higher Thursday morning and that trend gave investors in today’s 30-year TIPS reopening auction … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, interest-rates, personal-finance, The Treasury
9 Comments
One particular data point makes this 30-year TIPS auction look attractive
Markets remain overly optimistic about future inflation. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will offer at auction $8 billion in a reopened 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 912810TY4. While most small-scale investors will shy away from this … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
20 Comments
U.S. annual inflation fell to 2.9% in July, lowest rate since March 2021
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Federal Reserve got the sort of inflation report it desired for July, with the U.S. annual rate dipping below 3.0% for the first time since March 2021. There were no surprises, with annual core inflation … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged bonds, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
11 Comments
Where is the I Bond’s composite rate heading in November?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We are halfway through the I Bond’s interest-rate-setting period, with the next reset coming on Nov. 1 — or more probably on Halloween Day, Oct. 31. On that day, the U.S. Treasury will announce both a … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…