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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
PPI numbers are out and... well, that's not good.6.5%, and 5.0% again for PPI Core.Trailing 6 months annualized PPI and…
[…] deflation is rare and is more likely to only last a few months (Tipswatch, 2024). But in the end,…
I would not be surprised to see the both the I-bond fixed rate and the CPI inflation rate to go…
[…] 1.40%. That’s what your bond earns on top of inflation for its whole life, and it’s the highest fixed…
Categories
Tag Archives: finance
What’s the composite rate for your I Bonds?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury just set the new composite rate for I Bonds purchased from May to October 2025: 3.98% for six months, based on a combination of a permanent fixed rate of 1.10% and an inflation-adjusted variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged finance, investing, Treasury investments
12 Comments
5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 1.702% to apparently weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNB3, was a hard one to predict. Real yields have been sliding all over the place in the last week. You might have seen real yield predictions … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance
21 Comments
Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’
Buy in April to lock in the 1.2% fixed rate? Or buy in May to start with a higher composite rate? April 30 update: I Bond gets a new fixed rate of 1.10%, composite rate of 3.98% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
56 Comments
The Treasury market seems to be crumbling. Why?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, 2:15 pm April 9: Just about 12 hours after enforcing crippling tariffs on much of the world, President Trump changed course and announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs (above the new baseline 10%) on … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury bonds, Treasury notes
43 Comments
My I Bond fixed-rate projection just fell to 1.10%
The benchmark 5-year real yield continues to fall. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com April 11, 2025, update: Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’ April 10, 2025, update: I Bond’s variable rate will rise to 2.86% on May 1 Amid all this week’s … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
25 Comments
I believe the Fed Governors are planning to work hard to cool this inflation down. In the coming year both…