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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Tag Archives: inflation
U.S. inflation increased 0.2% in April, as annual rate falls to a 4-year low
This is positive news, but uncertainties remain. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this on a sunny Tuesday afternoon in Stockholm, Sweden, so I plan to be brief, to the point, and then get on to exploring this beautiful … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance
10 Comments
5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 1.702% to apparently weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNB3, was a hard one to predict. Real yields have been sliding all over the place in the last week. You might have seen real yield predictions … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance
21 Comments
Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’
Buy in April to lock in the 1.2% fixed rate? Or buy in May to start with a higher composite rate? April 30 update: I Bond gets a new fixed rate of 1.10%, composite rate of 3.98% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
56 Comments
My I Bond fixed-rate projection just fell to 1.10%
The benchmark 5-year real yield continues to fall. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com April 11, 2025, update: Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’ April 10, 2025, update: I Bond’s variable rate will rise to 2.86% on May 1 Amid all this week’s … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
25 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.935% after Fed-triggered dip
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Over the years, I have been known to rail against Federal Reserve commentary coming on the eve of auctions of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. So often, it seemed, a fairly attractive auction ended up with a mediocre … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
8 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…