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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Tag Archives: interest-rates
2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?
It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, interest-rates, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
IVOL, a once-hot inflation-fighting ETF, has produced poor results
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com My philosophy of investing is pretty simple: Stick to your asset allocation, layer in some inflation protection, and avoid undue risk, especially in your fixed-income holdings. So for fixed income, I am a fan of low-cost, … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged inflation, interest-rates, investing
19 Comments
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
30-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 2.055%
Only the 2nd auction of this term since 2011 to get a real yield above 2.0%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Real yields were ticking a bit higher Thursday morning and that trend gave investors in today’s 30-year TIPS reopening auction … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, interest-rates, personal-finance, The Treasury
9 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…