I wrote this as a SeekingAlpha.com exclusive … Why? It’s not a mystery. They pay me.
Here’s a summary:
- In 2016, TIPS yields have fallen much more sharply than the overall Treasury market.
- The five-year TIPS yield has fallen into a negative number, again.
- While TIPS remain inexpensive versus Treasurys, the yields today aren’t appealing.
Why is this happening? Jump over to SeekingAlpha.com to read my analysis:
Inflation Protection Is Getting More Expensive – Is It Worth It?
By the way, I’ll be posting tomorrow – also at SeekingAlpha – on the March inflation report, which will be very important for I Bond holders and potential buyers. It could result in a negative variable rate for I Bonds, reducing the composite interest to 0.0% for most I Bonds issued since 2008.
And I will updating my Tracking Inflation and I Bonds page on this site.
I will also advance next Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS.
Busy day!
Be interested to see what you report tomorrow for I Bonds.
I’d like to buy some if the reset is any good, but you seem pretty pessimistic.