Summary
- TIPS yields started and ended the year at relatively high levels, but dipped at midyear.
- TIPS outperformed the overall bond market as inflation expectations rose, increasing demand for TIPS and softening increases in yield.
- Are today’s higher yields a head-fake, or a signal of buying opportunities to come?
Treasury Inflation Protection Securities had a promising beginning of 2016 for investors, then a serious slump in yields at midyear, and then a promising rise in yields again after the November elections.
What can we expect in 2017?
This discussion raises in my mind what is the optimal amount of inflation bonds to hold in a diversified bond…