Monthly Archives: August 2018

5-Year TIPS Gets Real Yield Of 0.724%, Highest In Nearly 9 Years

Summary Investors got this reopened TIPS at a discount, because the real yield was higher than the coupon rate of 0.625%. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 1.99%, slipping 13 basis points since the originating auction in April. This … Continue reading

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5-Year TIPS Reopening: Don’t Let Dip In Real Yields Scare You Away

Summary Real yields for this term have dipped about 8 basis points since August 1. Not a great trend heading into an auction week. But current after-inflation yields above 0.75% are attractive, and would be the highest yield at auction … Continue reading

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July Inflation Rises 0.2%: What This Means For TIPS, I Bonds And Social Security

Summary 12-month core inflation rose to 2.4%, the highest number since September 2008. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation was essentially flat, meaning minimal principal increases for TIPS and little change in the six-month total that will reset the I Bond’s variable rate. … Continue reading

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Is The Flat Yield Curve Distorting The Value Of TIPS Mutual Funds?

Summary Real yields are out of balance with historical norms. A 5-year TIPS is yielding only 13 basis points less than a 30-year TIPS. Are we heading toward a recession? Would TIPS mutual funds benefit? Possibly, if the Federal Reserves … Continue reading

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Social Security COLA Looks Likely To Top 3% In 2019

Summary The year-over-year increase in CPI-W was 3.1% in June, higher than overall ‘headline’ inflation measured by CPI-U. Inflation measured by CPI-W in July, August and September will be averaged and compared to 2017 to determine the Social Security COLA … Continue reading

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