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Recent Posts
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
- January’s mild inflation report comes with ‘qualifications’
- Inflation slowed in January, with annual rate falling to 2.4%
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- TreasuryDirect tax forms: How to find the 1099s, decipher them
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
To my old self, it appears like Uncle Sam is going to be needing to sell a whole lot more…
The 2010 Congressional report also included raising the tax by 1.1 points from 6.2% to 7.3%. Maybe a lower increase…
And so it begins... "The BEA’s decision to change legal services source data in the PCE from CPI (around 11.3%…
I know that the software of the Tipswatch website only allows a certain "depth" of replies, so I'm using the…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
Deciphering TreasuryDirect’s mysterious gift-box email
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, Jan 31, 2025: I noted in this article that I was going to make a “test” I Bond purchase in January 2025 to see if it would trigger a purchase limit because of gift box … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged personal-finance, The Treasury
85 Comments
What about Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS?
Real yields are holding up, but the curve is widening. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The October auction of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security is always a baffler. The auctioned real yield is highly likely to be lower than many … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, TIPS
20 Comments
The one key rule for using TreasuryDirect …
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com TreasuryDirect gets a lot of bad press, mostly deserved, for presenting a clunky website with a bureaucratic mess of rules and usually lousy customer service. I’ve been using TreasuryDirect services for at least 32 years, even … Continue reading
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
IBIL currently holds only two 10-year TIPS. In 2030 that fund will purchase new 5-year TIPS issues (assuming current issuing…