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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
This week’s 10-year TIPS auction will be a test case for uncertainty
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $19 billion in a reopened 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 91282CNS6, creating a 9-year, 8-month TIPS. This will be especially interesting because it will be the first-ever TIPS auction … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
10 Comments
Nov. 13, 2025: The Inflation Day that wasn’t
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this from a hotel room in Kyoto, Japan, 14 hours ahead of Eastern Standard Time. Today is Friday. I believe it is also Friday (but very early) in the United States. After 43 … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, inflation, The Treasury, Treasury investments
11 Comments
Treasury sets I Bond fixed rate at 0.9%, composite rate of 4.03%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com There were no surprises in this morning’s announcement of the new fixed and composite rates for U.S. Series I Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. Treasury followed its past practices, setting the fixed rate … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, EE Bonds, I Bond, Inflation, TreasuryDirect
16 Comments
My schedule … and I have a problem
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Long-time readers know when I use a headline that starts with “My schedule” it means I will be traveling to distant places. And that is true again, starting Friday morning when I will be off to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged investing, personal-finance
23 Comments
TreasuryDirect did something right, but I’m still confused
Maybe it’s just me? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com TreasuryDirect has posted an updated notice about the upcoming change in rates for U.S. Series I Bonds, and this time it almost nailed it. At times in the distant past, TreasuryDirect would … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance
20 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…