Category Archives: Federal Reserve

What about Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS?

Posted on October 20, 2024 by Tipswatch

Real yields are holding up, but the curve is widening. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The October auction of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security is always a baffler. The auctioned real yield is highly likely to be lower than many … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect | Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, TIPS | 20 Comments

September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%

Posted on October 10, 2024 by Tipswatch

Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading →

Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security | Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing | 22 Comments

Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%

Posted on October 7, 2024 by Tipswatch

But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading →

Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect | Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments | 20 Comments

10-year TIPS reopening auction gets a real yield of 1.592%

Posted on September 19, 2024 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Too often, the bond market tricks you. It happened again Thursday in the wake of Wednesday’s “sort-of surprise” action by the Federal Reserve to cut short-term interest rates by 50 basis points. The initial (and expected) … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect | Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, stocks | 4 Comments

Real yields are sinking. What does this mean for Thursday’s 10-year TIPS reopening auction?

Posted on September 15, 2024 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com First off, let’s point out that the Federal Reserve has not yet lowered interest rates by a single basis point and, in fact, the federal funds rate has been stable since July 2023. But changes are … Continue reading →