I agree reducing the balance sheet is more likely than raising rates. If the votes aren't there to explicitly raise…
The oil shock doesn't even have to be severe to lead to some short term deflation. Global slowdown seems baked…
Thanks...I start RMD in 2029 when I turn 73. I have a similar strategy but I have also built some…
You are correct about the in-kind contributions. My strategy is to have all fixed income in my tax deferred IRA…
Category Archives: Federal Reserve
Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?
It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, interest-rates, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
Weak demand results in real yield of 2.121% for 5-year TIPS reopening auction
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. stock and bond markets were sent into turmoil Wednesday by confusing messaging from the Federal Reserve on future inflation and interest rates. As a result, the stock market plummeted and Treasury yields surged higher. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
18 Comments
November inflation again ticked higher, to an annual rate of 2.7%
Troubling conclusion: U.S. inflation is no longer slowing and remains too high. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Although annual U.S. inflation rose from 2.6% in October to 2.7% in November, financial markets are likely to view today’s report as a positive, … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged business, economy, finance, inflation, investing, Treasury investments
29 Comments
Real yields seem to have crested the peak. What’s next?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s been an interesting month for financial investments of all types, as markets adapt to the launch of a second Donald Trump administration. Interesting, and very profitable for some speculative investors. Some examples: Some of these … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged bonds, economy, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
14 Comments
Thursday’s 10-year TIPS auction will benefit from surge in real yields
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Reality is beginning to settle in on the U.S. bond market. Even as the Federal Reserve continues to cut short-term interest rates, longer-term yields have been rising in recent weeks as the market: As a result, … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
13 Comments
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities 
Well Said, Interest rates are one of the hardest things to predict.