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Recent Posts
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Five years ago (and earlier) the Federal Reserve was using quantitative easing ("financial repression") to hold interest rates very close…
Since I write about TIPS and follow them closely, I am always going to prefer TIPS over a nominal Treasury,…
It's certainly fair to assess recent (and even not so recent!) fiscal policy as "irresponsible"; But David uses the term…
David, what concerns me most is the doubling of the debt from 20t to 40t so quickly. If the endgame…
Categories
Category Archives: I Bond
Forecast: I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to fall to 0.90%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In two months, probably on Halloween morning, the Treasury will announce a new fixed rate, inflation-adjusted variable rate and composite rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. And I … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
34 Comments
A historical look at political influence over the BLS
The BLS over time: ‘A tin can tied to my coat tail‘ This article is republished by permission of the authors. By Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood / TLR Analytics We have worked closely with the Bureau of Labor Statistics … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged BLS, Employment
18 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
Inflation jumped higher in June to annual rate of 2.7%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As economists expected, U.S. all-items inflation moved higher in June, up 0.3% for the month and 2.7% year over year, well above the annual rate in May of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Core … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
14 Comments
A 10-year TIPS is maturing July 15. How did it do as an investment?
Answer: Very well, in keeping with recent trends. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on July 23, 2015, the U.S. Treasury auctioned a fairly routine 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 912828XL9, generating a real yield to maturity of 0.491% and a coupon rate … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
14 Comments
Wait, it turns out that ticking off all of your potential lenders when you need to borrow constantly is potentially…