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Recent Posts
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
This is what I do
[…] rate is the part nobody knows for sure. Treasury doesn’t publish its formula. David Enna of Tipswatch, who has…
This auction is going to have very strong demand.
Thanks for the food for thought, I appreciate it! I'm 14 years from retirement so I'm just looking to fill…
Categories
Category Archives: I Bond
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
Real yields are sinking. What does this mean for Thursday’s 10-year TIPS reopening auction?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com First off, let’s point out that the Federal Reserve has not yet lowered interest rates by a single basis point and, in fact, the federal funds rate has been stable since July 2023. But changes are … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, TIPS, Treasury investments
9 Comments
U.S. annual inflation in August fell to 2.5%, lowest since February 2021
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. annual inflation continued on a downward trend in August, falling from 2.9% in July to 2.5%, the lowest annual rate in 3 1/2 years. For the month, seasonally-adjusted inflation rose 0.2%, the Bureau of Labor … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged economy, inflation, investing, Treasury investments
23 Comments
Treasury is ending paper I Bonds as a tax refund
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com If you’ve been overpaying estimated taxes all through 2024 with the intention of purchasing paper U.S. Series I Savings Bonds in 2025 … it’s time for a new plan. Reporter Susan Tompor of the Detroit Free … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
29 Comments
U.S. annual inflation fell to 2.9% in July, lowest rate since March 2021
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Federal Reserve got the sort of inflation report it desired for July, with the U.S. annual rate dipping below 3.0% for the first time since March 2021. There were no surprises, with annual core inflation … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged bonds, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
11 Comments
Lou, the coupon rate should cover the taxes for the inflation accruals.