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Recent Posts
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
There is a lot of noise as to what is going on in the bond market. While many factors contribute…
Wait, it turns out that ticking off all of your potential lenders when you need to borrow constantly is potentially…
Five years ago (and earlier) the Federal Reserve was using quantitative easing ("financial repression") to hold interest rates very close…
Since I write about TIPS and follow them closely, I am always going to prefer TIPS over a nominal Treasury,…
Categories
Category Archives: I Bond
What about Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS?
Real yields are holding up, but the curve is widening. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The October auction of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security is always a baffler. The auctioned real yield is highly likely to be lower than many … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, TIPS
20 Comments
The one key rule for using TreasuryDirect …
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com TreasuryDirect gets a lot of bad press, mostly deserved, for presenting a clunky website with a bureaucratic mess of rules and usually lousy customer service. I’ve been using TreasuryDirect services for at least 32 years, even … Continue reading
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
Real yields are sinking. What does this mean for Thursday’s 10-year TIPS reopening auction?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com First off, let’s point out that the Federal Reserve has not yet lowered interest rates by a single basis point and, in fact, the federal funds rate has been stable since July 2023. But changes are … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, TIPS, Treasury investments
9 Comments
The war is definitely a factor because it creates uncertainty, for both inflation and the deficit. I call tariffs and…