-
-
Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
-
Links
-
- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
When is the I Bond’s fixed rate likely to rise?
Yes, there is a slim chance we could see a higher fixed rate in 2022. But next year’s investors may still want to invest in I Bonds before May 1, to lock in the current 7.12% variable rate for six … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
38 Comments
U.S. inflation surged 0.9% in October, well above expectations
When inflation rises to the highest level in 31 years, that is significant. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Attention, Federal Reserve: This 2021 surge in U.S. inflation is no longer looking “transitory.” It’s looking dangerous. The Consumer Price Index for All … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
15 Comments
I Bond’s fixed rate holds at 0.0%; composite rate soars to 7.12%
Treasury also maintains EE Bond’s doubling period at 20 years By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury just announced the November 2021 to April 2022 terms for U.S. Series I Bonds and EE Bonds, and there were no surprises. Both … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
22 Comments
I Bond dilemma: Buy in October? Or wait until November?
My opinion: Long-term investors should buy in October. Short-term term investors could wait until November. But whatever … buy I Bonds in 2021. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com With the release of the September inflation report on Wednesday, we got rather … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
48 Comments
August inflation: What it means for Social Security COLA, I Bonds and TIPS
U.S. inflation increased 0.3% in August, under the consensus estimate. At this point, the Social Security COLA will increase 5.8% for payments in January, but one month of data remains. The I Bond’s new inflation-adjusted variable rate is on track … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
3 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…