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Recent Posts
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
A stunner: I Bond’s inflation-adjusted variable rate will surge to 3.54% in May
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation surged 0.6% in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, and provided the final piece of data to determine the new variable rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds: a whopping 3.54%, annualized, … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
11 Comments
Inflation is heading higher. Will it be a ‘head fake’?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the most important inflation reports of the year is coming up Tuesday at 8:30 a.m., when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its March inflation report. That report carries a lot of weight, because: … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation
2 Comments
February inflation rose 0.4%: What does it mean for TIPS and I Bonds?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As expected, U.S. inflation surged 0.4% in February, triggered primarily by rising gasoline prices. But the overall February inflation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, released this morning, is a bag of mixed messages. One … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
7 Comments
Inflation expectations are soaring, with a short-term twist
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I’ve been writing about inflation and inflation breakeven rates for 10 years, and I’ve never seen anything quite like the picture presented by this chart, which shows the trend in the 5-year inflation breakeven rate over … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
9 Comments
Could rising real yields cause the Treasury to raise the I Bond’s fixed rate above 0.0%?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com There’s been a lively discussion going on over at the Bogleheads forum about the possibility that the recent rise in real yields could prompt the Treasury to raise the fixed rate on the Series I Savings … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
10 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…