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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Categories
Category Archives: Savings Bond
2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
U.S. annual inflation ticks up to 2.6%, but matches expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s good news when a monthly U.S. inflation report matches expectations. And October delivered, even though annual all-items inflation ticked higher and core remained too strong for comfort. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, news
11 Comments
Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.20%, composite rate falls to 3.11%
But … no clarification yet on delivery of gift-box purchases. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury just announced a 1.20% fixed interest rate for the Series I Savings Bond, creating a new six-month composite rate of 3.11% for purchases … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
23 Comments
It’s going to be a big week for I Bonds
Oct. 31 update: Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.20%, composite rate falls to 3.11% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com By Thursday (or possibly Friday) we are going to get a lot of new information about U.S. Series I Savings … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, personal-finance, Treasury investments
56 Comments
Deciphering TreasuryDirect’s mysterious gift-box email
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, Jan 31, 2025: I noted in this article that I was going to make a “test” I Bond purchase in January 2025 to see if it would trigger a purchase limit because of gift box … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged personal-finance, The Treasury
85 Comments
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…