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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The problem for the BLS is that it needs to IMMEDIATELY reinforce its credibility, as investors fear manipulation. This inflation…
Good point. I will also mention that the Trump tax cuts were also written with the intention of expiring this…
Healthcare is included in the CPI but not health insurance premiums. And the ACA subsidies aka Premium Tax Credits that…
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…
Categories
Category Archives: Savings Bond
The one key rule for using TreasuryDirect …
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com TreasuryDirect gets a lot of bad press, mostly deserved, for presenting a clunky website with a bureaucratic mess of rules and usually lousy customer service. I’ve been using TreasuryDirect services for at least 32 years, even … Continue reading
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
Considering an I Bond rollover? Do it the right way.
For some investors, cashing in low-fixed-rate I Bonds makes sense, combined with the gift-box strategy to add to holdings in October. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We are just a month and a few days away from the November 1 rate … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Taxes, TreasuryDirect
Tagged inflation, investing, personal-finance
41 Comments
Real yields are sinking. What does this mean for Thursday’s 10-year TIPS reopening auction?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com First off, let’s point out that the Federal Reserve has not yet lowered interest rates by a single basis point and, in fact, the federal funds rate has been stable since July 2023. But changes are … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, TIPS, Treasury investments
9 Comments
At Vanguard, the eventual confirmation statement will show the real yield to maturity, but not the executed trade screen. My…