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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
I Bonds would definitely outperform inflation in an era of severe deflation. But the fixed rate would get wiped out,…
I-bonds would surely shine were the economy to collapse and a deflationary crisis hit.
I purchased the April 2026 TIPS at a very different time, sometime in 2024. The real yield to maturity was…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
U.S. inflation rose 0.1% in August: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
This report is going to roil financial markets. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Surprises, surprises. Financial markets, which had been rallying over the last week on expectations of falling prices, got an inflation reality check today: Seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose … Continue reading
Let’s ‘try’ to clarify how an I Bond’s interest is calculated
You didn’t expect this to be simple, did you? Author’s note: This article ended up being “crowdsourced” through helpful (and accurate) criticism in the comments section. The Excel formulae have been edited to reflect these better techniques. Read the comments … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
163 Comments
Video: An economist offers a common-sense look at U.S. inflation
‘We are, unfortunately, about to go through a period of prolonged, persistent high inflation.’ By David Enna, Tipswatch.com There’s a lot of speculation in financial markets right now about an upcoming dip in U.S. inflation, triggered by a strong decline … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation
10 Comments
What’s up with those crazy real yields on ultra-short-term TIPS?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update: This TIPS matured Jan. 15, 2023. How did it work as an investment? Just about every month, I get emails or comments from readers pointing out what appears to be extremely attractive real yields on … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
17 Comments
Yes, I am still traveling (and news is breaking out all over the place)
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I woke up today in rainy Sitka, Alaska. Rain is not an an unusual thing in Alaska in August, I have learned. It has rained every single day on this trip, which started August 14. Rain … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
27 Comments
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…