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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
I Bonds would definitely outperform inflation in an era of severe deflation. But the fixed rate would get wiped out,…
I-bonds would surely shine were the economy to collapse and a deflationary crisis hit.
I purchased the April 2026 TIPS at a very different time, sometime in 2024. The real yield to maturity was…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Is the I Bond’s variable rate heading to zero? Maybe not.
Historical evidence clearly shows non-seasonal inflation lags from October to December, picks up from January to March. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The one really big thing I have learned while writing about inflation and inflation protection over the last 12 … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
34 Comments
U.S. inflation fell 0.1% in December; a sign of things to come?
Data for three months indicate the I Bond’s variable rate could fall to 0.0%. What does it mean for investors? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation transitioned to deflation in December, with the all-items Consumer Price Index for All Urban … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
20 Comments
TIPS funds vs. TIPS ladder: An investor weighs in
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A lot of readers ask about the ladder of TIPS investments I have built over the years. Yes, I do have a ladder, and it does hit every year from 2023 to 2032, and then jumps … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement
33 Comments
I Bonds: A not-so-simple buying guide for 2023
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Note: I posted an updated I Bond analysis on April 14: Update, April 28, 2023: Treasury raises I Bond’s fixed rate to 0.9%; new composite rate is 4.30% After a year of raging-high demand, where do … Continue reading
2022 in review: Scary year for inflation, better year for inflation protection
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The year 2022 broke through several economic milestones, and most of them were dreadful: Highest U.S. inflation in 40 years. U.S. stock market down 20%. U.S. bond market down 13%. Federal Reserve aggressively raising interest rates. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
30 Comments
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…