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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Here’s why this week’s 5-year TIPS reopening auction makes investment sense
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Can anyone make the case that a 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security with a yield lagging inflation by 1.73% and an upfront premium cost of nearly 10% makes sense as an investment? Hey, I can. But that … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
11 Comments
U.S. inflation surges 0.6% in May, again higher than expected
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com For the third month in a row, U.S. inflation surged to higher-than-expected levels in May, reaching the highest annual level in nearly 13 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The Consumer Price Index for … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
28 Comments
All of a sudden, inflation is a ‘thing’
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I’ve been writing about inflation and inflation-protected investments for 10 years, and most of that time, actual U.S. inflation has been sleepy and dull. Suddenly, but not too surprisingly, that has changed. Official U.S. inflation — … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
11 Comments
I Bond dilemma: Buy in April, buy in May, or wait until later?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The March inflation report, released April 13, is going to create a lot of interest in U.S. Series I Savings Bonds, because the bond’s inflation-adjusted variable rate – for purchases from May to October — will … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
13 Comments
A stunner: I Bond’s inflation-adjusted variable rate will surge to 3.54% in May
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation surged 0.6% in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, and provided the final piece of data to determine the new variable rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds: a whopping 3.54%, annualized, … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
11 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…