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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
It's true. For years, the Federal Reserve was willing to accommodate reckless government spending and borrowing. The official Fed response…
A caveat: In a nightmare scenario, the U.S. government could begin manipulating inflation data (in other words, lying) to suppress…
I had posted an article here years ago that *governments cannot effectively inflate-away the public debt*. I searched, but I…
You mentioned the Federal Reserve needs to maintain its strong commitment to holding inflation in check. They have failed to…
Categories
Tag Archives: Treasury investments
This week’s 5-year TIPS auction will be hard to predict
Oct. 23 update: New 5-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.182% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Auctions for new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities happen twice a year, in April and October. Because of the relatively short term, and the different inflationary conditions … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening will mark a shift in yields
Are we entering an era of lower real returns? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $19 billion in a reopened 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNS6. This will be a notable auction because the real yield to … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
18 Comments
When rates decline, I Bonds get more attractive
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week, I noticed something very interesting: The real yield of the most recent 5-year TIPS fell on the secondary market at one point to 1.08% and closed the week at 1.10%. CUSIP 91282CNB3 had its … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills
Tagged Federal Reserve, Treasury investments
28 Comments
Forecast: I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to fall to 0.90%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In two months, probably on Halloween morning, the Treasury will announce a new fixed rate, inflation-adjusted variable rate and composite rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. And I … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
34 Comments
Vanguard backs off on raising its bond-trading minimum to $10,000
IMPORTANT NOTE: I wrote this article on Wednesday to be published Sunday while I am visiting family out of town. It appears that Vanguard has backed off on raising the bond minimum to $10,000, based on Boglehead discussions posted Saturday … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
26 Comments
Could this be it? https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w20339/w20339.pdf