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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Category Archives: Bank CDs
This week’s 5-year TIPS reopening could get the highest real yield in 14 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will offer $19 billion in a reopening auction of CUSIP 91282CGW5, creating a 4-year, 10-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. This TIPS had its originating auction on April 20, 2023, when investors got … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
66 Comments
‘The debt limit drama heats up,’ says Moody’s Analytics in new report
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Here’s an update on my last article, “Looming debt crisis is already roiling Treasury bill market,” which discussed the disruptions rippling through the bond market as the U.S. nears a debt-limit crisis. Moody’s Analytics, a market … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bills
46 Comments
Thoughts on this week’s 5-year TIPS auction: It’s complicated
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $21 billion of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 91282CGW5. The coupon rate and real yield to maturity will be set by the auction results. For months, I … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
51 Comments
I Bond dilemma: Buy in April, buy in May, or don’t buy at all?
The I Bond’s fixed rate could rise to 0.6% or higher on May 1. Should you wait? Or look at alternatives? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, April 28, 2023: Treasury raises I Bond’s fixed rate to 0.9%; new composite rate … Continue reading
After three months of volatility, where do we stand?
TIPS remain attractive. And now bank CDs are worth a serious look. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s been kind of wild to go from seeing the possibility of TIPS with a real yield of 2% in early March to the … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Cash alternatives, ETFs, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
45 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…