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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
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- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
It's true. For years, the Federal Reserve was willing to accommodate reckless government spending and borrowing. The official Fed response…
A caveat: In a nightmare scenario, the U.S. government could begin manipulating inflation data (in other words, lying) to suppress…
I had posted an article here years ago that *governments cannot effectively inflate-away the public debt*. I searched, but I…
You mentioned the Federal Reserve needs to maintain its strong commitment to holding inflation in check. They have failed to…
Categories
Category Archives: Federal Reserve
This week’s 5-year TIPS auction will be hard to predict
Oct. 23 update: New 5-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.182% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Auctions for new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities happen twice a year, in April and October. Because of the relatively short term, and the different inflationary conditions … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
A 5-year TIPS is maturing today. How did it do as an investment?
An awful auction. A decent result. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on October 22, 2020, a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CAQ4 — auctioned with a depressingly low real yield to maturity of -1.320%, which at the time … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance
25 Comments
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
I Bond rate reset: We’re heading toward chaos
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% Oct. 12 update: I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90% Oct. 10, 2025 update: The Trump administration has allowed the BLS to recall staff to prepare … Continue reading
As government shuts down, Trump jettisons his choice to lead BLS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s Day One of the U.S. government shutdown, and the crucially important, non-partisan Bureau of Labor Statistics now has one working employee: acting commissioner William Wiatrowski. The other 2,054 employees have been (or will soon be) … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, politics
54 Comments
Could this be it? https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w20339/w20339.pdf