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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
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- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
It's true. For years, the Federal Reserve was willing to accommodate reckless government spending and borrowing. The official Fed response…
A caveat: In a nightmare scenario, the U.S. government could begin manipulating inflation data (in other words, lying) to suppress…
I had posted an article here years ago that *governments cannot effectively inflate-away the public debt*. I searched, but I…
You mentioned the Federal Reserve needs to maintain its strong commitment to holding inflation in check. They have failed to…
Categories
Tag Archives: Treasury investments
5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s offering of $24 billion in a reopened 5-year TIPS — CUSIP 91282CPH8 — generated a real yield to maturity of 1.433% to strong demand from investors. The mild October/November inflation report, issued this morning, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
12 Comments
U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In the messiest inflation report in history, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said today that seasonally-adjusted consumer prices rose just 0.2% over a two-month period (October and November), resulting in an annual rate of 2.7% This … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stock-market, Treasury investments
24 Comments
This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As I noted in a post last week, the Federal Reserve’s recent moves to lower short-term interest rates haven’t caused real yields to decline. Instead, they have been rising. Normally, the 5-year real yield will track … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, Treasury investments
14 Comments
Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Morningstar.com published an article last week singling out three of its favorite ETFs as having “a lousy 2025.” I was surprised to see Vanguard’s Short-term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF (VTIP) listed as one of the three. The … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged investing, TIPS, Treasury investments
30 Comments
‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury today finally announced a calculated CPI index for October – 325.604 – which equates to monthly inflation of 0.25%. The presumed annual rate ticked higher from 3.0% in September to 3.1% in October. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Taxes, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
11 Comments
Could this be it? https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w20339/w20339.pdf