Summary
- Current trends are pointing at a real yield above 0.65%, the highest for any 4- to 5-year TIPS auction since October 2009.
- This TIPS will outperform a U.S. Series I Bond over five years and is very competitive with best-in-the-nation bank CDs.
- The inflation breakeven rate should come in slightly higher than 2.0%, putting this TIPS in the “neutral” range versus on nominal Treasury.
I try not to predict inflation and interest rates., unless I really have to. My strategy is to stick with…