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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
You said in the Would the Fed Join in section, "I think this is highly unlikely. It won’t happen." Could…
You are absolutely correct. But the electorate will never go for it. One party says it wants to cut the…
What I think is that thoughtful people should get out and vote. A huge fraction of voters don't vote midterm…
I'm 48 and still in my accumulation phase. For me, I-Bonds are best. I'm slowly building a 10% portfolio allocation…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
New 5-year TIPS gets a real yield of 1.670% to potentially lukewarm demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s offering of $24 billion in a new 5-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CLV1, auctioned today with a real yield to maturity of 1.670%, the lowest for this term since April 2023. This one is a bit … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, economy, finance, inflation, investing, investment, personal-finance, TIPS, Treasury investments
11 Comments
Deciphering TreasuryDirect’s mysterious gift-box email
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, Jan 31, 2025: I noted in this article that I was going to make a “test” I Bond purchase in January 2025 to see if it would trigger a purchase limit because of gift box … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged personal-finance, The Treasury
85 Comments
What about Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS?
Real yields are holding up, but the curve is widening. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The October auction of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security is always a baffler. The auctioned real yield is highly likely to be lower than many … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, TIPS
20 Comments
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
With its current membership, I think the Fed is committed to holding inflation in check, even if it never quite…