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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
Categories
Category Archives: Social Security
Looming debt crisis is already roiling Treasury bill market
The 4-week Treasury yield is sending a message of fear. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, April 26: ‘The debt limit drama heats up,’ says Moody’s Analytics in new report On Thursday afternoon, I happened to be watching CNBC during a … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Retirement, Social Security, Treasury Bills
47 Comments
Debt-limit crisis: Lessons from the 2011 earthquake
The 2011 crisis led to an S&P downgrade of U.S. debt. This year could be worse. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com When I launched this website back in April 2011, I figured I had chosen one of the most placid and … Continue reading
September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 6.48%; Social Security COLA rises to 8.7%
Annual core inflation hits 6.6%, a 40-year high. This isn’t good news for financial markets. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Here is it, the most important Inflation Day of the year, setting in stone the inflation-adjusted variable rate on U.S. Series … Continue reading
Good news: Medicare costs are going down for 2023
Why? The Medicare system is making amends for an ill-advised increase of 14.6% in 2022. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One year after Medicare costs jumped 14.6% because of uncertainty over an Alzheimer’s drug, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services … Continue reading
Posted in Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
14 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.1% in August: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
This report is going to roil financial markets. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Surprises, surprises. Financial markets, which had been rallying over the last week on expectations of falling prices, got an inflation reality check today: Seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose … Continue reading
Please post some pictures from your trip! Thanks for your outstanding analysis! Without your clear and thoughtful explanations I never…