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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
Categories
Category Archives: Social Security
U.S. inflation went flat in July: What it means for I Bonds, TIPS and Social Security COLA
Core inflation continues at 5.9%, an unsustainable rate. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I warned you: Inflation numbers are notoriously fickle in the summer months, and so here we go: All-items U.S. inflation increased 0.0% in July on a seasonally adjusted … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
40 Comments
Social Security COLA looks likely to rise about 10% for 2023
Want to understand how the COLA is calculated? It’s complicated. Read on … By David Enna, Tipswatch.com With the release of the June inflation report on Wednesday, we now have a pretty good idea of where the Social Security cost-of-living … Continue reading
Posted in Retirement, Social Security
8 Comments
June inflation hits new highs: 1.3% for the month, 9.1% year over year
Annual inflation is now running at the hottest pace since 1981. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Have we hit peak inflation yet? The answer is: we don’t know, because the June inflation report showed inflation surging ever higher, greatly exceeding already … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
42 Comments
Medicare Part B’s monthly premium, deductible costs will surge 14.6% for 2022
The typical person on Medicare will pay at least $289 more in 2022, just for Part B coverage, and double that to $578 for a couple. IRMAA surcharges are also increasing 14.5%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Just a month after … Continue reading
Posted in Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
21 Comments
Coming October 13: The most significant inflation report in a decade
September inflation numbers should nail down the Social Security COLA at 5.8%+ and set the I Bond’s inflation adjusted rate at 6.5%+, annualized. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Next Wednesday, at 8:30 a.m. EDT, we’re going to get a whopper of … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Savings Bond, Social Security
32 Comments
Please post some pictures from your trip! Thanks for your outstanding analysis! Without your clear and thoughtful explanations I never…