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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
Categories
Category Archives: Social Security
U.S. inflation rose 0.6% in August; what does it mean for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As expected, rising gasoline prices pushed U.S. inflation higher in August, rising a seasonally-adjusted 0.6% for the month and increasing 3.7% year-over-year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Core inflation, which removes food and energy, … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
15 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in July; what does it mean for I Bonds, TIPS and Social Security COLA?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Markets got fairly positive news today with the release of the July inflation report: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Over … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
22 Comments
Social Security COLA looks likely to slip to 3.0% to 3.2% for 2024
Projecting the COLA is a fool’s game. But I’ll try anyway … By David Enna, Tipswatch.com With the release of the June inflation report on July 12, we now have a “pretty good” idea of where the Social Security cost-of-living … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
7 Comments
Annual U.S. inflation falls to 3.0%. Is this what the Fed was looking for?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The just-released June inflation report is going to be greeted with glee, I think. It was exactly what the stock and bond markets were hoping for. What happened? The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
22 Comments
Question: Is inflation dead?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com After weeks of financial gloom and omens of disaster, we finally had a “Goldilocks” week in the U.S. financial markets. For example: Debt-limit crisis? Solved. Jobs report? Positive. U.S. dollar? Stronger. Oil prices? Still falling. Stock … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
29 Comments
Please post some pictures from your trip! Thanks for your outstanding analysis! Without your clear and thoughtful explanations I never…