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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
PPI numbers are out and... well, that's not good.6.5%, and 5.0% again for PPI Core.Trailing 6 months annualized PPI and…
[…] deflation is rare and is more likely to only last a few months (Tipswatch, 2024). But in the end,…
I would not be surprised to see the both the I-bond fixed rate and the CPI inflation rate to go…
[…] 1.40%. That’s what your bond earns on top of inflation for its whole life, and it’s the highest fixed…
Categories
Tag Archives: finance
Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the most frequent questions I’ve heard from readers over the last year goes something like this: “Can we trust the government inflation numbers?” Or more bluntly: “Is the U.S. government lying to us?” My … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
26 Comments
A 10-year TIPS is maturing Jan. 15. How did it do as an investment?
CUSIP 912828N71 continued the trend of strong performance. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on Jan. 21, 2016, we had a “sort-of” exciting moment in the market for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. The Treasury auctioned a new 10-year TIPS — CUSIP 912828N71 … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury investments
27 Comments
U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In the messiest inflation report in history, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said today that seasonally-adjusted consumer prices rose just 0.2% over a two-month period (October and November), resulting in an annual rate of 2.7% This … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stock-market, Treasury investments
24 Comments
The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As the Federal Reserve continues on a path toward lower short-term interest rates, the bond market isn’t tagging along. Instead, yields on medium- and longer-term Treasurys have been increasing, not falling. The Fed began its latest … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
32 Comments
As government shuts down, Trump jettisons his choice to lead BLS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s Day One of the U.S. government shutdown, and the crucially important, non-partisan Bureau of Labor Statistics now has one working employee: acting commissioner William Wiatrowski. The other 2,054 employees have been (or will soon be) … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, politics
54 Comments
I believe the Fed Governors are planning to work hard to cool this inflation down. In the coming year both…