Summary
- The current real yield estimate of 0.54% would be the highest at auction since January 2016.
- The inflation breakeven rate has inched up to 2.01%, but that’s still attractive enough versus the nominal Treasury’s yield of 2.55%.
- Looking ahead: 5 more auctions of this maturity in 2018.
Definitely. Warsh could feel the pressure of 5 or 6 dissenting votes if he decides to push to hold rates…