Summary
- While shorter-term real yields have been gradually increasing, the 30-year yield has actually been declining.
- Investors at Thursday’s auction will probably pay a 2% premium over par value because this TIPS currently has a market yield below the coupon rate of 1.00%.
- On the positive side, the current inflation breakeven rate of 2.13% is reasonable and attractive.

Definitely. Warsh could feel the pressure of 5 or 6 dissenting votes if he decides to push to hold rates…