Summary
- The Treasury will reopen CUSIP 912810SM1 in a Thursday auction, creating a 29-year, 6-month TIPS.
- The real yield looks likely to be around -0.26%, making this the first TIPS of this term to get a negative real yield.
- Investors will probably pay a huge premium, about 16% above par value. This TIPS isn’t attractive for a buy-and-hold-to-maturity investor.
- But for a TIPS trader, it might have speculative appeal.
The U.S. Treasury will be offering $7 billion Thursday in a reopening auction of CUSIP 912810SM1, creating a 29-year, 6-month Treasury Inflation Protected Security. Do I think you should invest in this TIPS? No. But let’s look at it anyway.

All of these substantive comments are the reason to collect them (if one is so concerned, ie not a petition)…