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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Re: "Write the TD IG!" As a number of other posters here have suggested. The implied faith is touching. But…
The Treasury FAQs address entities: I manage an entity account, such as a corporation, trust, or estate. How will ID.me…
Write the TD IG!
ID.me and October 2026 deadline: What if I never received an email from Treasury Direct notifying me of the change?…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
I Bond Investors: April May Be Your ‘Decision Month’
Summary Inflation report on April 14 will set the I Bond’s six-month variable rate, taking effect May 1. Right now, it looks like the new six-month variable rate could be lower than the current 2.76%. However, it’s possible the May … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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10-Year TIPS Reopening Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.466%
Summary 10-year TIPS yields have been holding under 0.50% even as the Federal Reserve raises short-term rates. The inflation breakeven rate dipped to 1.95%, under the 2.00% mark where it had been riding for most of 2017. Inflation expectations are … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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10-year TIPS will reopen at auction March 23; will yield be high enough to be attractive?
Summary A week out, CUSIP 912828V49 is trading with a real yield to maturity of 0.48%. Its inflation-breakeven rate is 2.04%, right in the mid-range of inflation expectations since 2009. Is it a buy? Maybe not at the current yield, … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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U.S. Inflation Rose 0.1% In February; Now Up 2.7% Over 12 Months
Summary The 12-month increase of 2.7% was the largest since March 2012. Gasoline prices fell in February, moderating overall inflation. But they’re still up 30.7% over the last year. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.31%, which will boost the principal balances … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
2 Comments
Real interest rates are on the rise — TIPS could get interesting in 2017
Summary The real yield on a 10-year TIPS has risen 29 basis points in recent weeks. At the same time, the inflation breakeven rate has declined – slightly. The driving force? A rise in nominal rates, which will nearly always … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
Loren Sciurba serves as the Deputy Inspector General, exercising the delegated duties of the Treasury Inspector General position for the…