Author Archives: Tipswatch

Summary TIPS have held up relatively well because of a rise in the inflation-breakeven rate. We haven’t entered uncharted waters — today’s TIPS yields are in line with recent numbers. Bear market for TIPS? Not yet, and doesn’t seem likely. … Continue reading →

Summary The real yield was about 37 basis points higher than the early October trend. The inflation-breakeven rate of 1.90% was the highest since May 2015. TIPS are drawing attention as fears of future inflation rise. Today’s reopening auction of … Continue reading →

Summary While 0.4% looks high, core inflation remained in the moderate zone, just above 2.0% over the last 12 months. Energy costs, along with shelter costs, accounted for most of the October increase. There is nothing in today’s report that … Continue reading →

Summary The after-inflation yields on TIPS have been rising sharply over the last month. But TIPS are out-performing the overall bond market, with yields rising at a slower pace. A rise in the 10-year inflation-breakeven rate indicates that investors are … Continue reading →

Summary With the 10-year TIPS yielding just 0.11%, the Treasury couldn’t justify continuing the 0.10% fixed rate. But the I Bond will get a six-month variable rate of 2.76%, making it an attractive 1-year investment, no matter what happens in … Continue reading →