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Recent Posts
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
There is a lot of noise as to what is going on in the bond market. While many factors contribute…
Wait, it turns out that ticking off all of your potential lenders when you need to borrow constantly is potentially…
Five years ago (and earlier) the Federal Reserve was using quantitative easing ("financial repression") to hold interest rates very close…
Since I write about TIPS and follow them closely, I am always going to prefer TIPS over a nominal Treasury,…
Categories
Tag Archives: investing
The Treasury market seems to be crumbling. Why?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, 2:15 pm April 9: Just about 12 hours after enforcing crippling tariffs on much of the world, President Trump changed course and announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs (above the new baseline 10%) on … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury bonds, Treasury notes
43 Comments
A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
It had a real yield negative to inflation. And it was a winner. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the basic rules of investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities is: Get the highest possible real yield and ignore all the other … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
15 Comments
My I Bond fixed-rate projection just fell to 1.10%
The benchmark 5-year real yield continues to fall. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com April 11, 2025, update: Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’ April 10, 2025, update: I Bond’s variable rate will rise to 2.86% on May 1 Amid all this week’s … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
25 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.935% after Fed-triggered dip
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Over the years, I have been known to rail against Federal Reserve commentary coming on the eve of auctions of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. So often, it seemed, a fairly attractive auction ended up with a mediocre … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
8 Comments
Here’s another chance to get a 2% above-inflation yield for nearly 10 years
Treasury will auction a reopened 10-year TIPS on Thursday. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com March 20, 2025 update: 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.935% after Fed-triggered dip Real yields have been quite volatile through 2025, with the yield on … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, TIPS, Treasury investments
4 Comments
The war is definitely a factor because it creates uncertainty, for both inflation and the deficit. I call tariffs and…