Summary:
- CUSIP 912828Q60 looks likely to end up with a negative real yield.
- Yields for this term of TIPS are down an amazing 68 basis points since December.
- Even a US Savings I Bond with a fixed rate of 0.1% would outperform this TIPS.
I wrote this for SeekingAlpha.com, please read my analysis there.
I will be posting an updated look here next Thursday morning, probably around 10 a.m.
Jimbo, I agree that the declining trend in Treasury yields has been a major disappointment for our style of investing in 2016.
I turned my nose up to the last auction of 5 year TIPS back in December. Heck, the FED was going to be raising rates probably 4 times in 2016. Why not just wait until April when surely the YTM will be even better? I’m feeling a lot like Charlie Brown when Lucy would pull away the football at the last minute. Ooooops! Flat on my back, again…