August Inflation Rises 0.2%: What It Means For Social Security, TIPS, And I Bonds

Summary

  • August headline inflation came in below the consensus for the month and year. Core inflation was also below the consensus.
  • The current trend in CPI-W would place the 2019 Social Security cost-of-living increase in a range of 2.7% to 3.0%, with one month remaining for the calculation.
  • Non-seasonally adjusted inflation increased just 0.06% in August, after a 0.01% increase in July. What does this mean for TIPS and I Bonds?

Read my full analysis on SeekingAlpha.com

Also:

  1. I have updated my Tracking Inflation and I Bonds page with the new numbers.
  2. I have also updated my Social Security COLA page with an update on the 2018 calculation.
  3. And here are the updated October Inflation Indexes for all TIPS.

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