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Recent Posts
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
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- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
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- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I see this makes sense. I had wondered why the difference in market pricing to real rates on these types…
David, I've learned so much from you and others here, and I'm amazed at how much there is still to…
Savings bonds are a minimal portion of Treasury debt, so cash-outs won't be threatened. On the security issue, in my…
Mr. Enna, Thank you for Oct 28 reminder. After logging in with ID.me a pleasant surprise at Treasury Direct. All…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
10-Year TIPS Reopening Generates A Real Yield Of 0.567%
Summary The real yield of 0.567% was in line with where this TIPS was trading Thursday morning. No surprise, and the auction appears to have been met with strong demand. Buyers had to pay a lofty premium, however, because the … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Take Caution: This Week’s 10-Year TIPS Reopening Will Be Pricey
Summary The real yield is likely to come in around 0.57%, well below the coupon rate of 0.875%. That means buyers could be paying a premium of nearly 3% to capture that coupon rate. Is that too high a price … Continue reading
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U.S. Inflation Rose 0.3% In April, Driven By Higher Gas Prices
Summary The 0.3% increase in the Consumer Price Index fell slightly below the consensus estimate, so no shock to the markets. Core inflation rose at an annual rate of 2.1%, showing that inflation exists outside of rising gasoline prices. Good … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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In Surprise Move, Treasury Holds I Bond’s Fixed Rate At 0.5%
Summary Yes, I didn’t see this coming. Today’s decision is a gift to small-scale investors seeking inflation protection, and should be applauded. If you already bought your full 2019 allocation of I Bonds before April 30, you still get the … Continue reading
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As U.S. Debt Rises, Treasury Shakes Up TIPS Auction Schedule
Summary The new schedule adds a second new 5-year TIPS to the 2019 auction lineup. One 30-year TIPS reopening has been removed. The new lineup allows the Treasury to offer larger auctions, more frequently, meeting its needs to raise funds … Continue reading
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I have written on this topic often and in fact it will come up again Sunday in my preview of…