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Recent Posts
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
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- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I see this makes sense. I had wondered why the difference in market pricing to real rates on these types…
David, I've learned so much from you and others here, and I'm amazed at how much there is still to…
Savings bonds are a minimal portion of Treasury debt, so cash-outs won't be threatened. On the security issue, in my…
Mr. Enna, Thank you for Oct 28 reminder. After logging in with ID.me a pleasant surprise at Treasury Direct. All…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
New 5-Year TIPS Gets An After-Inflation Yield Of 0.515%
Summary Last April, a similar auction generated a real yield of 0.631% and a coupon rate of 0.625%, both better results than today’s. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 1.86%, a fair number in today’s time of muted inflation. … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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This Week’s 5-Year TIPS Auction: Not Stellar, But Acceptable?
Summary Above-inflation yields have declined sharply, but still remain “relatively” attractive compared to those of the last 10 years. Five-year bank CDs yielding above 3% are a compelling alternative. I Bonds with the current fixed rate of 0.5% are also … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Here’s Why The I Bond’s Fixed Rate Will Fall On May 1
Summary Real yields have fallen dramatically since the Treasury’s last rate reset on November 1. The current fixed rate of 0.5% is therefore “above market.” Today’s real yields justify a fixed rate of about 0.2% to 0.3%. I Bond investors … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Inflation Report Sets I Bond’s New Variable Rate At 1.40%
Summary Energy prices drove overall inflation up sharply in March, giving a boost to the I Bond’s variable rate calculation. I Bonds purchased before May 1 will offer an overall one-year return of 2.4%, but most importantly will carry a … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Inflation Warriors: It’s Time To Buy I Bonds
Summary The current fixed rate of 0.5% is likely to fall on May 1, possibly to as low as 0.2%. I Bond investors can lock in that 0.5% fixed rate for up to 30 years by investing before April 30. … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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I have written on this topic often and in fact it will come up again Sunday in my preview of…