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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Re: "Write the TD IG!" As a number of other posters here have suggested. The implied faith is touching. But…
The Treasury FAQs address entities: I manage an entity account, such as a corporation, trust, or estate. How will ID.me…
Write the TD IG!
ID.me and October 2026 deadline: What if I never received an email from Treasury Direct notifying me of the change?…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
Coming July 21: Auction of a new 10-year TIPS
Summary The coupon rate and real yield to maturity for CUSIP 912828S50 will be set by the auction. The current market is pointing to a coupon rate of 0.125% and a real yield of about 0.03%. Why would buyers be … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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TIPS yields go negative to inflation – what’s the best move now?
Summary TIPS yields have fallen to their lowest levels in three years. The TIP ETF is up about 6.9% year to date, and it has outperformed the overall bond market. Thinking you need inflation protection? Consider I Bonds instead of … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
1 Comment
On a rare Wednesday auction, 30-year TIPS reopening goes off with a real yield of 0.905%
Hmmm… a TIPS auction on a Wednesday? I have to admit, I didn’t see that coming. I have been covering TIPS auctions for 5 1/2 years, and every single one was on a Thursday, unless the Thursday was a federal … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Up next: A particularly ugly reopening auction for a 30-year TIPS
Summary CUSIP 912810RR1 is going to be pricey and unattractive. Federal Reserve didn’t do investors any favors by backing off from rate increases. Definitely avoid buying this TIPS in a taxable account; it will be cash flow negative. I posted … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in May – a lower number than expected
Summary The May number came in below the consensus estimate of 0.3%, but core inflation rose to 2.2% for the last 12 months. Increases in energy and shelter prices were offset by declines in food, apparel, and used cars. Non-seasonally … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Loren Sciurba serves as the Deputy Inspector General, exercising the delegated duties of the Treasury Inspector General position for the…