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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Only Congress can? Who gives the marching orders? The latest tax idea I've heard from Congress is a reduction in…
Calvin and Hobbes has an interesting take on the serenity prayer: https://improvisedlife.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Serenity-Prayer-Calvin-Hobbes.jpg
I look forward to your opinion concerning the September reopening of a 10 year TIPS. I have long had issues…
The Schwab analysts are sharp on the mechanics, and this is a useful discussion. But there's an elephant in the…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
Federal Reserve launches a ‘sea change’ of uncertainty
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We’ve entered a new era. That’s what Bloomberg’s ever-thoughtful Tom Keene repeated over and over in Wednesday’s coverage of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate forecasts. “This is a sea change,” he said. “I have to emphasize … Continue reading
U.S. inflation rose 0.1% in November, at bit higher than expected
TIPS principal balances will fall 0.2% in January, based on non-seasonally adjusted inflation. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Costs of shelter continued rising in November, offsetting declines in gas prices, resulting in seasonally-adjusted all-items inflation of 0.1% for the month, the … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
11 Comments
Real yields are sliding lower with talk of a ‘Fed pivot’
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com You can’t watch CNBC for more than 10 minutes without hearing some analyst predict the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in March 2024 … or May … or certainly by June. On the other … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Savings Bond
27 Comments
Let’s look at the new iShares Defined-Maturity TIPS ETFs
These new funds offer simplicity, but with some drawbacks. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back in late September, financial adviser/author Allan Roth sent me an email pointing out BlackRock’s new offering of 10 defined-maturity TIPS ETFs. Roth, who has been pushing … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS, Retirement, TreasuryDirect
44 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.180% to apparently weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury’s $15 billion offering of a reopened 10-year TIPS — CUSIP 91282CHP9 — generated a real yield to maturity of 2.180%, a bit higher than traders expected. This 9-year, 8-month TIPS had been trading … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
39 Comments
Politics aside (they are never aside, but hear me out ...) reducing the capital gains tax is the stupidest tax…