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Recent Posts
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
On the other hand, we'd have a nuclear armed Iran capable of hitting mainland US... so there's that....
The war is definitely a factor because it creates uncertainty, for both inflation and the deficit. I call tariffs and…
There is a lot of noise as to what is going on in the bond market. While many factors contribute…
Wait, it turns out that ticking off all of your potential lenders when you need to borrow constantly is potentially…
Categories
Category Archives: I Bond
September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 6.48%; Social Security COLA rises to 8.7%
Annual core inflation hits 6.6%, a 40-year high. This isn’t good news for financial markets. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Here is it, the most important Inflation Day of the year, setting in stone the inflation-adjusted variable rate on U.S. Series … Continue reading
Opinion: Treasury should raise the I Bond’s fixed rate
But will it? The odds are better now. The data clearly support a higher fixed rate. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com How the U.S. Treasury sets the fixed rate on the Series I Savings Bond is wrapped in mystery. No one … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
41 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.1% in August: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
This report is going to roil financial markets. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Surprises, surprises. Financial markets, which had been rallying over the last week on expectations of falling prices, got an inflation reality check today: Seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose … Continue reading
Let’s ‘try’ to clarify how an I Bond’s interest is calculated
You didn’t expect this to be simple, did you? Author’s note: This article ended up being “crowdsourced” through helpful (and accurate) criticism in the comments section. The Excel formulae have been edited to reflect these better techniques. Read the comments … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
163 Comments
U.S. inflation went flat in July: What it means for I Bonds, TIPS and Social Security COLA
Core inflation continues at 5.9%, an unsustainable rate. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I warned you: Inflation numbers are notoriously fickle in the summer months, and so here we go: All-items U.S. inflation increased 0.0% in July on a seasonally adjusted … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
40 Comments
Sleepy, no politics, just information here. You must’ve forgotten we were told from the horse’s mouth that Iran’s nuclear weapons…