Category Archives: Inflation

‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break

Is inflation really slowing? And what does this mean for I Bonds, TIPS and the Social Security COLA? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report provides evidence that U.S. inflation is gradually slowing, which should be good news for … Continue reading

Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond | Tagged , , | 32 Comments

The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?

A new fixed rate of 1.30% looks like a real possibility. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We’ve seen a fascinating explosion in real yields in 2026 as the war with Iran, inflationary pressures and soaring federal deficits are straining the U.S. … Continue reading

Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect | Tagged , , | 54 Comments

Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The new Federal Reserve chairman, Kevin Warsh, stood in front of reporters Wednesday afternoon and said: For some households, businesses, and market professionals five years of high inflation have left a mistaken impression that’s hard to … Continue reading

Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS | Tagged , , , | 57 Comments

Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Each July, since 2017, I have been forecasting the next year’s Social Security cost-of-living adjustment. Over the years, I have learned one thing: It’s important to be humble. This is a nearly impossible task, combining an … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Social Security | Tagged | 36 Comments

10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s auction today of a new 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 91282CRE3, generated a real yield to maturity of 2.438%, the highest at auction for this term since October 2008. Investor demand appeared to be … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect | Tagged , , , , | 31 Comments