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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
10-Year TIPS Will Reopen At Auction Thursday; What’s The Likely Result?
Summary CUSIP 912828S50 has a coupon rate of 0.125% and may auction at a slight discount. As of Friday, the likely real yield was in the range of 0.15% to 0.19%. Here’s how to track the likely yield as Thursday’s … Continue reading
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U.S. Inflation Increased 0.2% In August; What Does This Mean For I Bonds And TIPS?
Summary Headline inflation has increased just 1.1% over the last 12 months. Core inflation, however, was up 0.3% in August and 2.3% over the last 12 months. The I Bond variable interest rate looks likely to get a big bump … Continue reading
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Investors should know: TIPS ETFs and mutual funds are riskier than you think
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A lot of investors believe putting money into an ETF or mutual fund holding Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities is a very safe ‘core’ investment. After all, these are investments in U.S. Treasurys, so there is no credit … Continue reading
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5-year TIPS reopens at auction with a real yield of -0.209%, lowest in 16 months
Summary The after-inflation yield of -.209% is the lowest since an auction in April 2015. Buyers had to pay a premium, about $103.27 for $101.69 of value, when accrued inflation is added in. The inflation breakeven rate was 1.32%, making … Continue reading
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U.S. inflation was unchanged in July; what does it mean for TIPS and I Bonds?
Summary July inflation came in under the consensus estimate of 0.2%. Gasoline prices fell sharply, breaking a four-month string of increases. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation fell 0.16% for the month, which will lower TIPS principal balances in September. Read my full … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…