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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
TIPS yields go negative to inflation – what’s the best move now?
Summary TIPS yields have fallen to their lowest levels in three years. The TIP ETF is up about 6.9% year to date, and it has outperformed the overall bond market. Thinking you need inflation protection? Consider I Bonds instead of … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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On a rare Wednesday auction, 30-year TIPS reopening goes off with a real yield of 0.905%
Hmmm… a TIPS auction on a Wednesday? I have to admit, I didn’t see that coming. I have been covering TIPS auctions for 5 1/2 years, and every single one was on a Thursday, unless the Thursday was a federal … Continue reading
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Up next: A particularly ugly reopening auction for a 30-year TIPS
Summary CUSIP 912810RR1 is going to be pricey and unattractive. Federal Reserve didn’t do investors any favors by backing off from rate increases. Definitely avoid buying this TIPS in a taxable account; it will be cash flow negative. I posted … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in May – a lower number than expected
Summary The May number came in below the consensus estimate of 0.3%, but core inflation rose to 2.2% for the last 12 months. Increases in energy and shelter prices were offset by declines in food, apparel, and used cars. Non-seasonally … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS reopening auctions with a real yield of 0.275%
The after-inflation yield was the lowest for any 9- to 10-year TIPS in more than a year. This TIPS has a coupon rate of 0.625%, so buyers paid an adjusted price of about $103.53 for $100 of par value. The … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…